The average person doesn’t realise that the Australian gold sector is the fourth largest export earner for the country, at $6 billion per year, behind oil & gas, coal and iron ore and that the future of the gold sector has essentially been ignored by the Federal government.
The treasurer, Peter Costello, wasn’t interested in the introduction of a Flow Through Share Scheme to ensure the gold sector would remain strong and continue to add significantly to GDP, but instead decided to introduce the Managed Investment Scheme, a similar product giving tax benefits to investors, that has led to companies, especially in the forestry industry, seeing exceptional growth since it’s inception.
The massive wealth creator, that is a countries gold sector, has been embraced by China, which is set to take the lead as the top gold producing country in the world through the dramatic liberalisation of their sector over the last four years. China is already the world’s fourth largest gold producer behind America, Australia and South Africa and the top three have essentially remained stagnant due to the lack of large-scale exploration in the past 10 years.
Since the gold price started to move upwards in 2001, China put measures in place that allowed large-scale foreign investment in China’s gold sector, removed bans on private ownership of bullion and more recently started marketing gold as an investment category and store of wealth to the Chinese people.
The Chinese government also realised that modern exploration, development and management techniques were the key to the successful development of their gold sector and have put systems in place that is producing a quantum leap in its development.With Australian companies being rated as some of the best in the world when it comes to finding and developing mineral resources, it’s no accident that the best performing foreign gold company in China is Australian.
What has the federal government done to ensure that one of Australia’s largest export industry’s remained strong? Absolutely nothing!
Throughout the late 1990’s when exploration funding had declined to critically low levels, professionals and the skilled labour force were leaving in droves to pursue more lucrative careers. At the same time the industry was constantly lobbying the government about the need for support, to at least retain status quo with its labour force. Now the costs associated with finding and developing resources have blown out dramatically because of labour shortages.
So, what’s ahead for the Australian gold sector?
It’s a good bet that share prices in Australian gold companies will see more growth as the gold price continues to climb. Fund managers entering the market again in the same fashion as in Q2 this year, could see US$1000/oz broken for the first time signalling an increase in demand for shares in both producers and explorers as retail investors scramble to take advantage of rising profit margins and exploration success.
It’s no doubt that the Australian gold sector will survive, but the days of this country being one of the top three largest gold producing countries in the world, including the economic benefits and steady growth in research and development of technologies that made the Australian gold sector what it is today, looks set to decline rapidly over the next 10 years.
If the Australian federal government had taken the initiative, as China did four to five years ago, the benefits that will be gained in the paper boom to come could have been exponentially greater and the future of the industry would have been ensured for generations to come.
Australia didn’t become the nation it is today on the back of a sheep. It was the minerals industry in general, with the Australian gold sector playing a major role in our development and we shouldn’t forget it.
Gold Report Australia